
If you purchased a home in Queen Creek, Arizona within the last few years, there's a good chance your mortgage rate looks very different from homeowners who bought or refinanced when rates were historically low.
Maybe you knew that when you purchased.
You liked the home, the payment worked, and buying made sense for your family.
But perhaps your plan was:
"If rates eventually improve, I'll refinance."
That's a perfectly reasonable strategy.
The question now becomes:
How will you know when it's actually time to do it?
Homeowners often tell me:
"I'll refinance when rates get back to 5%."
But why 5%?
What if refinancing at 5.75% already saves you enough money to justify the cost?
Or what if you have a smaller loan balance and even 5% doesn't create enough savings to make refinancing worthwhile?
Instead of choosing an arbitrary target rate, determine what rate would actually create a meaningful financial benefit for your mortgage.
Another common rule says:
"Don't refinance unless you can lower your interest rate by at least 1%."
That's an easy rule to remember, but mortgages aren't that simple.
Consider two homeowners.
One owes $700,000.
The other owes $200,000.
The same change in interest rate will have a very different dollar impact on those two mortgages.
Depending on your balance and refinance costs, even a smaller rate improvement could potentially be worth evaluating.
Here's an approach I like much better.
Instead of constantly watching mortgage rates and wondering whether today is the day, determine your personal refinance strike rate.
That's the approximate point where refinancing starts producing enough benefit to deserve serious consideration.
To determine it, we can look at:
Once you know that number, you have a plan.
You're no longer trying to guess where rates are headed.
You're waiting for the numbers to reach a point that works for you.
Suppose refinancing could save you $350 per month.
Great.
But let's say the refinance costs approximately $5,000.
A simplified break-even calculation would be:
$5,000 ÷ $350 = approximately 14 months
If you expect to keep the home and mortgage for several more years, that's worth evaluating.
If you're planning to move next summer, the answer may be very different.
This is one of the biggest concerns homeowners have.
"What if I refinance and rates drop again six months later?"
That's possible.
It's also why I believe refinance costs matter so much.
If you're paying substantial points and fees every time you refinance, repeatedly chasing lower rates can become expensive.
Sometimes a refinance with lower upfront costs and a slightly higher interest rate may be worth comparing with the lowest-rate option.
The goal isn't to win a contest for the lowest rate.
The goal is to improve your financial position.
If you've been making payments for several years, pay attention to the new loan term.
Refinancing into another 30-year mortgage may reduce your required payment, but it may also extend the repayment timeline.
That isn't necessarily wrong.
You might choose to:
The important thing is making that decision intentionally.
For some homeowners, the interest rate isn't the only potential source of savings.
If your home's value has increased or you've paid down your mortgage balance, your equity position may have changed significantly since you purchased.
Depending on your current loan and the refinance option, mortgage insurance could be another factor worth reviewing.
That means your potential savings may come from more than just a lower interest rate.
Queen Creek homeowners who have built substantial equity may be tempted to combine a rate refinance with taking cash out.
That can sometimes make sense, but I would evaluate the two decisions separately.
Ask:
Does refinancing my first mortgage make sense?
Then ask:
Does accessing my home equity make sense?
If you already have favorable financing on your first mortgage, a HELOC or another home-equity strategy could potentially be worth comparing before replacing the entire mortgage.
You don't have to wait until rates fall to start the conversation.
In fact, I'd rather review your mortgage beforehand.
We can establish:
Your current numbers.
What level of savings would matter to you.
Your approximate break-even target.
The rate range where refinancing deserves another look.
Then you know what you're waiting for.
At Brick Mortgage, I don't want to call you every time mortgage rates move slightly and tell you it's time to refinance.
I'd rather help you establish a target based on your actual mortgage.
When you work with Jared Halbert at Brick Mortgage, we can review your existing loan, compare potential refinance scenarios through multiple lenders, and determine what would need to happen for refinancing to make financial sense.
If you're not there yet, that's okay.
We'll know what we're watching for.
If you bought a Queen Creek home at a higher mortgage rate, refinancing may eventually provide an opportunity to lower your payment or improve your overall mortgage structure.
But don't wait for an arbitrary number you heard online.
Determine your personal refinance strike rate.
Know what you're paying today, what refinancing would cost, what you'd save, and how quickly you'd recover those costs.
Then, when the opportunity arrives, you'll already know what to do.
Brick Mortgage, LLC — Serving Queen Creek and All of Arizona
Jared Halbert — Mortgage Loan Officer
480-565-2223